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- <text id=93TT0172>
- <title>
- Aug. 09, 1993: May We Have The Check, Please?
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1993
- Aug. 09, 1993 Lost Secrets Of The Maya
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- THE FLOOD, Page 29
- May We Have The Check, Please?
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> The Great Flood of 1993, so far, has contributed to 43 deaths
- in eight states and devastated crops in Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota,
- Missouri, South Dakota and elsewhere; now the Midwest is bracing
- itself for the Great Bill. While cost estimates of cleaning
- up the deluge are starting to pour in like river water through
- a levee of sandbags, flood victims are wondering how the impressive
- damage estimates and aid packages relate to them and their losses.
- Complains Allen Seeburger, an uninsured farmer in St. Charles
- County, Missouri, who lost his corn and wheat harvest to the
- flood: "It takes $100 of taxpayers' money to get a dollar where
- it's needed."
- </p>
- <p> Two and a half days after the House of Representatives passed
- a $3 billion relief package for the flood victims last week,
- the Senate Appropriations Committee followed with a $4.7 billion
- package. Back in early July, some estimates of the flood's damage
- were at $500 million; by July 16 the Administration was forecasting
- $2.5 billion in federal aid and $8 billion in losses. Now experts
- say the flood may cause about $10 billion in damages. "Coming
- up with an accurate flood-damage estimate now is like a waiter
- giving you a restaurant check before you've even ordered the
- meal," says Morrie Goodman, chief spokesman for the Federal
- Emergency Management Agency. "There is no official estimate
- of the Federal Government--it could be $10 billion, it could
- be $15 billion. As soon as someone quotes one figure, it turns
- out to be another."
- </p>
- <p> Where do these fluid flood numbers come from? Typically, local
- and state inspectors visit flooded properties for a firsthand
- look; however, when a house is under water, it's difficult to
- tell how much a property is worth or how many appraised antiques
- may be lying waterlogged in the basement. To come up with an
- overall dollar figure, inspectors calculate a per-home damage
- estimate and multiply it by the number of affected homes. And
- what's the per-home damage dollar figure they're using in Missouri?
- "I'm not at liberty to discuss it," says Eric Evans, training
- officer for the Missouri State Emergency ManageAgency. "Not
- that it's secret. But it's never scientific either, and no one
- has a scientific number." Estimating crop damage is more accurate
- because the Department of Agriculture employs aerial observation.
- </p>
- <p> Experts say disasters are getting more costly, partly because
- of growing popuin risky areas. "Each [calamity] is going to
- be more expensive because more people are in the way," says
- Roey Price, president of the National Emergency Management Association.
- "Unless we work much harder on mitigating the effects, $20 billion
- to $30 billion losses are going to be routine." A week after
- Hurricane Andrew struck in August 1992, the damage estimate
- was $7.3 billion; a year later, that figure is more than $21
- billion. Eight months after Andrew, FEMA had doled out only
- $120 million in aid to the people of Dade County, far less than
- the $1.2 billion that was earmarked.
- </p>
- <p> Out in the flood-ravaged Midwest, in St. Charles County, Missouri,
- the latest disaster victims are applying for assistance. Farmer
- Marie Oldenberg, 74, spent an afternoon in a local high school
- filling out government forms. She and her husband were hoping
- to earn money for retirement this year, but the flood destroyed
- their entire crop of corn, beans and wheat. "The government
- forms asked lots of questions--what our income was, if we
- had insurance and how much money we had in the bank," says Oldenberg,
- who is not optimistic about getting her losses covered. "Maybe
- at least we'll get reimbursed for our motel bill."
- </p>
- <p>-- By Christopher John Farley. Reported by Lynn Emmerman/Chicago
- and Adam Zagorin/Washington
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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